Handicappers Predict Another ‘Close and Competitive’ Presidential Election Next Year

In their first Electoral College ratings, the sages at Sabato’s Crystal Ball point to Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin, and Georgia as key battleground states.

AP/file
The likely 2024 contenders: Presidents Trump and Biden. AP/file

The handicappers at Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics on Thursday released their first Electoral College ratings for 2024 and, in their assessment, the presidential contest is anyone’s game.

An editor of the Crystal Ball, Kyle Kondik, writes that “our best guess is yet another close and competitive presidential election next year — which, if it happened, would be the sixth such instance in seven elections (with 2008 as the only real outlier).”

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